AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET

Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns

INDINDIndianapolis ColtsCLECLECleveland Browns

Matchup first read

CLE pass defense has the stronger league profile.

IND passing attack #28/32 · CLE pass defense #9/32 · 194 offense / 196 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CLE -1.5
Model total
45
80% range (CLE margin)
-13.5 to +20.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CLE passing attack#22/32IND pass defense#7/32
  • CLE run game#17/32IND run defense#12/32
  • IND passing attack#28/32CLE pass defense#9/32
  • IND run game#10/32CLE run defense#5/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

INDIndianapolis Colts

CLECleveland Browns