AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 3 · 4:05 PM ET

Las Vegas Raiders at Arizona Cardinals

LVLVLas Vegas RaidersARIARIArizona Cardinals

Matchup first read

LV passing attack has the stronger league profile.

LV passing attack #12/32 · ARI pass defense #30/32 · 217 offense / 161 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LV -4.5
Model total
51
80% range (ARI margin)
-19.4 to +14.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ARI passing attack#23/32LV pass defense#28/32
  • ARI run game#15/32LV run defense#31/32
  • LV passing attack#12/32ARI pass defense#30/32
  • LV run game#32/32ARI run defense#26/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LVLas Vegas Raiders

ARIArizona Cardinals