AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys

NYGNYGNew York GiantsDALDALDallas Cowboys

Matchup first read

DAL run game has the stronger league profile.

DAL run game #5/32 · NYG run defense #28/32 · 122 offense / 138 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NYG -1.5
Model total
49.5
80% range (DAL margin)
-16.6 to +17.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DAL passing attack#14/32NYG pass defense#3/32
  • DAL run game#5/32NYG run defense#28/32
  • NYG passing attack#18/32DAL pass defense#27/32
  • NYG run game#13/32DAL run defense#21/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYGNew York Giants

DALDallas Cowboys