AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans

PITPITPittsburgh SteelersTENTENTennessee Titans

Matchup first read

PIT run defense has the stronger league profile.

TEN run game #30/32 · PIT run defense #7/32 · 117 offense / 109 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PIT -4.5
Model total
40
80% range (TEN margin)
-19.5 to +14.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • TEN passing attack#30/32PIT pass defense#17/32
  • TEN run game#30/32PIT run defense#7/32
  • PIT passing attack#19/32TEN pass defense#21/32
  • PIT run game#2/32TEN run defense#23/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

TENTennessee Titans