AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET

Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers

SEASEASeattle SeahawksCARCARCarolina Panthers

Matchup first read

CAR pass defense has the stronger league profile.

SEA passing attack #24/32 · CAR pass defense #8/32 · 188 offense / 181 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SEA -4.5
Model total
47
80% range (CAR margin)
-19.4 to +14.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CAR passing attack#17/32SEA pass defense#4/32
  • CAR run game#12/32SEA run defense#6/32
  • SEA passing attack#24/32CAR pass defense#8/32
  • SEA run game#29/32CAR run defense#20/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SEASeattle Seahawks

CARCarolina Panthers