AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings

CHICHIChicago BearsMINMINMinnesota Vikings

Matchup first read

CHI pass defense has the stronger league profile.

MIN passing attack #27/32 · CHI pass defense #11/32 · 154 offense / 152 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
MIN -2.5
Model total
38
80% range (MIN margin)
-12.3 to +21.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIN passing attack#27/32CHI pass defense#11/32
  • MIN run game#27/32CHI run defense#22/32
  • CHI passing attack#13/32MIN pass defense#1/32
  • CHI run game#20/32MIN run defense#15/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CHIChicago Bears

MINMinnesota Vikings