AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals

CLECLECleveland BrownsCINCINCincinnati Bengals

Matchup first read

CLE run defense has the stronger league profile.

CIN run game #21/32 · CLE run defense #5/32 · 104 offense / 127 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CIN -4.5
Model total
43
80% range (CIN margin)
-10.4 to +23.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CIN passing attack#3/32CLE pass defense#9/32
  • CIN run game#21/32CLE run defense#5/32
  • CLE passing attack#22/32CIN pass defense#13/32
  • CLE run game#17/32CIN run defense#16/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CLECleveland Browns

CINCincinnati Bengals