AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders

DALDALDallas CowboysWASWASWashington Commanders

Matchup first read

DAL run game has the stronger league profile.

DAL run game #5/32 · WAS run defense #29/32 · 122 offense / 123 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DAL -2
Model total
51
80% range (WAS margin)
-16.9 to +17.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#20/32DAL pass defense#27/32
  • WAS run game#16/32DAL run defense#21/32
  • DAL passing attack#14/32WAS pass defense#19/32
  • DAL run game#5/32WAS run defense#29/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DALDallas Cowboys

WASWashington Commanders