2026 Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers
Matchup first read
GB passing attack has the stronger league profile.
GB passing attack #7/32 · DET pass defense #31/32 · 208 offense / 219 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- DET -1
- Model total
- 48
- 80% range (GB margin)
- -15.8 to +18.2
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- GB passing attack#7/32DET pass defense#31/32
- GB run game#31/32DET run defense#25/32
- DET passing attack#1/32GB pass defense#6/32
- DET run game#23/32GB run defense#24/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
DETDetroit Lions
- Jared GoffQB · 6 games298pass yds/g
- Jahmyr GibbsRB · 6 games103rush yds/g
- Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · 6 games87.5rec yds/g
- Jameson WilliamsWR · 6 games61.2rec yds/g
GBGreen Bay Packers
- Jordan LoveQB · 7 games280pass yds/g
- Kaleb JohnsonRB · 5 games20.8rush yds/g
- Christian WatsonWR · 7 games85rec yds/g
- Matthew GoldenWR · 7 games77.1rec yds/g