AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts

JAXJAXJacksonville JaguarsINDINDIndianapolis Colts

Matchup first read

JAX pass defense has the stronger league profile.

IND passing attack #28/32 · JAX pass defense #18/32 · 194 offense / 196 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
JAX -7
Model total
47.5
80% range (IND margin)
-22.1 to +11.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • IND passing attack#28/32JAX pass defense#18/32
  • IND run game#10/32JAX run defense#1/32
  • JAX passing attack#6/32IND pass defense#7/32
  • JAX run game#11/32IND run defense#12/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

JAXJacksonville Jaguars

INDIndianapolis Colts