AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET

Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos

LACLACLos Angeles ChargersDENDENDenver Broncos

Matchup first read

DEN pass defense has the stronger league profile.

LAC passing attack #32/32 · DEN pass defense #5/32 · 171 offense / 220 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DEN -5.5
Model total
36.5
80% range (DEN margin)
-9.3 to +24.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DEN passing attack#21/32LAC pass defense#10/32
  • DEN run game#14/32LAC run defense#4/32
  • LAC passing attack#32/32DEN pass defense#5/32
  • LAC run game#28/32DEN run defense#11/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LACLos Angeles Chargers

DENDenver Broncos