2026 Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants
Matchup first read
NYG pass defense has the stronger league profile.
PHI passing attack #31/32 · NYG pass defense #3/32 · 185 offense / 164 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- NYG -4.5
- Model total
- 45
- 80% range (NYG margin)
- -10.5 to +23.5
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYG passing attack#18/32PHI pass defense#25/32
- NYG run game#13/32PHI run defense#30/32
- PHI passing attack#31/32NYG pass defense#3/32
- PHI run game#26/32NYG run defense#28/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles
- Tanner McKeeQB · 2 games213pass yds/g
- Saquon BarkleyRB · 5 games48.8rush yds/g
- DeVonta SmithWR · 4 games77.5rec yds/g
- Dontayvion WicksWR · 6 games47.3rec yds/g
NYGNew York Giants
- J.J. McCarthyQB · 3 games165pass yds/g
- Cam SkatteboRB · 6 games69.7rush yds/g
- Malik NabersWR · 7 games86.4rec yds/g
- Isaiah LikelyTE · 7 games56.4rec yds/g