AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

TENTENTennessee TitansHOUHOUHouston Texans

Matchup first read

HOU passing attack has the stronger league profile.

HOU passing attack #4/32 · TEN pass defense #21/32 · 161 offense / 176 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
HOU -4
Model total
43
80% range (HOU margin)
-10.9 to +23.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • HOU passing attack#4/32TEN pass defense#21/32
  • HOU run game#22/32TEN run defense#23/32
  • TEN passing attack#30/32HOU pass defense#14/32
  • TEN run game#30/32HOU run defense#27/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TENTennessee Titans

HOUHouston Texans