2026 Week 2 · Final

Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, final 23–19

CLECLECleveland Browns23TBTBTampa Bay Buccaneers19

Pregame first read

TB run game has the stronger league profile.

TB run game #18/32 · CLE run defense #28/32 · 131 offense / 137 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread: TB -1
Model total: 41
80% range (TB margin): -14.0 to +20.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

PassingDeshaun WatsonCLE238 pass yds
RushingBucky IrvingTB89 rush yds
ReceivingDenzel BostonCLE95 rec yds

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

TB passing attack#14/32CLE pass defense#11/32
TB run game#18/32CLE run defense#28/32
CLE passing attack#32/32TB pass defense#24/32
CLE run game#9/32TB run defense#18/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CLECleveland Browns

Not enough recorded games yet.

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers

Not enough recorded games yet.