2026 Week 2 · Final
Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills, final 31–41
Pregame first read
BUF run game has the stronger league profile.
BUF run game #6/32 · DET run defense #30/32 · 151 offense / 128 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- BUF -3
- Model total
- 55
- 80% range (BUF margin)
- -11.7 to +22.6
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJared GoffDET327 pass yds
- RushingJames CookBUF135 rush yds
- ReceivingAmon-Ra St. BrownDET142 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- BUF passing attack#3/32DET pass defense#15/32
- BUF run game#6/32DET run defense#30/32
- DET passing attack#9/32BUF pass defense#14/32
- DET run game#32/32BUF run defense#15/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
DETDetroit Lions
Not enough recorded games yet.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Not enough recorded games yet.