2026 Week 2 · Final

Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos, final 13–20

JAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars13DENDENDenver Broncos20

Pregame first read

JAX pass defense has the stronger league profile.

DEN passing attack #24/32 · JAX pass defense #5/32 · 178 offense / 178 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread: JAX -8.5
Model total: 45
80% range (DEN margin): -23.5 to +10.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

PassingBo NixDEN288 pass yds
RushingBhayshul TutenJAX65 rush yds
ReceivingJaylen WaddleDEN138 rec yds

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

DEN passing attack#24/32JAX pass defense#5/32
DEN run game#23/32JAX run defense#22/32
JAX passing attack#3/32DEN pass defense#1/32
JAX run game#21/32DEN run defense#30/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

JAXJacksonville Jaguars

Not enough recorded games yet.

DENDenver Broncos

Not enough recorded games yet.