2026 Week 2 · Final
Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers, final 13–35
Pregame first read
SF run game has the stronger league profile.
SF run game #13/32 · MIA run defense #27/32 · 125 offense / 140 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- SF -5
- Model total
- 46
- 80% range (SF margin)
- -9.8 to +24.4
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingBrock PurdySF287 pass yds
- RushingDe'Von AchaneMIA74 rush yds
- ReceivingGeorge KittleSF80 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- SF passing attack#18/32MIA pass defense#28/32
- SF run game#13/32MIA run defense#27/32
- MIA passing attack#20/32SF pass defense#21/32
- MIA run game#29/32SF run defense#21/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
MIAMiami Dolphins
Not enough recorded games yet.
SFSan Francisco 49ers
Not enough recorded games yet.