2026 Week 2 · Final

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears, final 9–3

MINMINMinnesota Vikings9CHICHIChicago Bears3

Pregame first read

MIN run game has the stronger league profile.

MIN run game #14/32 · CHI run defense #24/32 · 145 offense / 136 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread: PK
Model total: 44.5
80% range (CHI margin): -14.8 to +19.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

PassingCarson WentzMIN143 pass yds
RushingAaron JonesMIN105 rush yds
ReceivingJustin JeffersonMIN55 rec yds

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

CHI passing attack#4/32MIN pass defense#2/32
CHI run game#5/32MIN run defense#2/32
MIN passing attack#21/32CHI pass defense#27/32
MIN run game#14/32CHI run defense#24/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

MINMinnesota Vikings

Not enough recorded games yet.

CHIChicago Bears

Not enough recorded games yet.