2026 Week 2 · Final
New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens, final 24–17
Pregame first read
BAL run defense has the stronger league profile.
NO run game #28/32 · BAL run defense #7/32 · 122 offense / 109 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- BAL -1.5
- Model total
- 45.5
- 80% range (BAL margin)
- -13.2 to +21.0
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingTyler ShoughNO252 pass yds
- RushingDerrick HenryBAL68 rush yds
- ReceivingRashod BatemanBAL88 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- BAL passing attack#2/32NO pass defense#7/32
- BAL run game#1/32NO run defense#6/32
- NO passing attack#11/32BAL pass defense#17/32
- NO run game#28/32BAL run defense#7/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
NONew Orleans Saints
Not enough recorded games yet.
BALBaltimore Ravens
Not enough recorded games yet.