AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 2 · Final

Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots, final 3–20

PITPITPittsburgh Steelers3NENENew England Patriots20

Pregame first read

NE pass defense has the stronger league profile.

PIT passing attack #25/32 · NE pass defense #3/32 · 212 offense / 186 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NE -5.5
Model total
38.5
80% range (NE margin)
-9.1 to +25.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NE passing attack#30/32PIT pass defense#15/32
  • NE run game#25/32PIT run defense#9/32
  • PIT passing attack#25/32NE pass defense#3/32
  • PIT run game#20/32NE run defense#4/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

Not enough recorded games yet.

NENew England Patriots

Not enough recorded games yet.