2026 Week 2 · Final
Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys, final 20–37
Pregame first read
DAL run game has the stronger league profile.
DAL run game #12/32 · WAS run defense #31/32 · 143 offense / 148 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- WAS -0.5
- Model total
- 49.5
- 80% range (DAL margin)
- -15.5 to +18.7
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingDak PrescottDAL279 pass yds
- RushingJayden DanielsWAS69 rush yds
- ReceivingCeeDee LambDAL153 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- DAL passing attack#6/32WAS pass defense#19/32
- DAL run game#12/32WAS run defense#31/32
- WAS passing attack#13/32DAL pass defense#32/32
- WAS run game#16/32DAL run defense#26/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
WASWashington Commanders
Not enough recorded games yet.
DALDallas Cowboys
Not enough recorded games yet.