2026 Week 3 · Final
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers, final 30–36
Pregame first read
SF passing attack has the stronger league profile.
SF passing attack #12/32 · ARI pass defense #30/32 · 152 offense / 172 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- SF -9.5
- Model total
- 49.5
- 80% range (SF margin)
- -5.7 to +28.7
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingBrock PurdySF297 pass yds
- RushingJeremiyah LoveARI90 rush yds
- ReceivingMichael WilsonARI89 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- SF passing attack#12/32ARI pass defense#30/32
- SF run game#21/32ARI run defense#12/32
- ARI passing attack#14/32SF pass defense#16/32
- ARI run game#19/32SF run defense#22/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
ARIArizona Cardinals
- Jacoby BrissettQB · 2 games186pass yds/g
- Tyler AllgeierRB · 2 games35.5rush yds/g
- Trey McBrideTE · 2 games68rec yds/g
- Kendrick BourneWR · 2 games43rec yds/g
SFSan Francisco 49ers
- Brock PurdyQB · 2 games246pass yds/g
- Christian McCaffreyRB · 2 games45.5rush yds/g
- Mike EvansWR · 2 games51.5rec yds/g
- George KittleTE · 2 games46rec yds/g