2026 Week 3 · Final
Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers, final 35–14
Pregame first read
ATL run defense has the stronger league profile.
GB run game #31/32 · ATL run defense #12/32 · 112 offense / 108 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- PK
- Model total
- 46.5
- 80% range (GB margin)
- -14.9 to +19.4
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJordan LoveGB312 pass yds
- RushingBijan RobinsonATL194 rush yds
- ReceivingDrake LondonATL194 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- GB passing attack#11/32ATL pass defense#13/32
- GB run game#31/32ATL run defense#12/32
- ATL passing attack#29/32GB pass defense#24/32
- ATL run game#25/32GB run defense#23/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
ATLAtlanta Falcons
- Cooper RushQB · 2 games115pass yds/g
- Bijan RobinsonRB · 2 games77.5rush yds/g
- Drake LondonWR · 2 games40rec yds/g
- Jahan DotsonWR · 2 games15rec yds/g
GBGreen Bay Packers
- Jordan LoveQB · 2 games266pass yds/g
- MarShawn LloydRB · 2 games28.5rush yds/g
- Christian WatsonWR · 2 games94rec yds/g
- Matthew GoldenWR · 2 games76.5rec yds/g