AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 3 · Final

Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys, final 34–31

BALBALBaltimore Ravens34DALDALDallas Cowboys31

Pregame first read

BAL passing attack has the stronger league profile.

BAL passing attack #4/32 · DAL pass defense #32/32 · 122 offense / 157 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -4
Model total
53
80% range (DAL margin)
-18.7 to +15.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DAL passing attack#3/32BAL pass defense#23/32
  • DAL run game#20/32BAL run defense#16/32
  • BAL passing attack#4/32DAL pass defense#32/32
  • BAL run game#1/32DAL run defense#27/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BALBaltimore Ravens

DALDallas Cowboys