AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 3 · Final

Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns, final 18–21

CARCARCarolina Panthers18CLECLECleveland Browns21

Pregame first read

CAR pass defense has the stronger league profile.

CLE passing attack #28/32 · CAR pass defense #14/32 · 145 offense / 163 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CAR -3.5
Model total
45
80% range (CLE margin)
-18.2 to +16.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CLE passing attack#28/32CAR pass defense#14/32
  • CLE run game#14/32CAR run defense#24/32
  • CAR passing attack#15/32CLE pass defense#5/32
  • CAR run game#24/32CLE run defense#31/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CARCarolina Panthers

CLECleveland Browns