AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 3 · Final

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers, final 27–30

CINCINCincinnati Bengals27PITPITPittsburgh Steelers30

Pregame first read

CIN run defense has the stronger league profile.

PIT run game #27/32 · CIN run defense #4/32 · 107 offense / 102 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CIN -4.5
Model total
43
80% range (PIT margin)
-19.3 to +15.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PIT passing attack#31/32CIN pass defense#9/32
  • PIT run game#27/32CIN run defense#4/32
  • CIN passing attack#8/32PIT pass defense#10/32
  • CIN run game#3/32PIT run defense#20/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CINCincinnati Bengals

PITPittsburgh Steelers