AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 3 · Final

Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos, final 26–30

LALALos Angeles Rams26DENDENDenver Broncos30

Pregame first read

LA run game has the stronger league profile.

LA run game #10/32 · DEN run defense #30/32 · 133 offense / 151 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LA -1
Model total
46
80% range (DEN margin)
-15.8 to +18.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DEN passing attack#22/32LA pass defense#15/32
  • DEN run game#25/32LA run defense#18/32
  • LA passing attack#6/32DEN pass defense#3/32
  • LA run game#10/32DEN run defense#30/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LALos Angeles Rams

DENDenver Broncos