2026 Week 3 · Final

Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints, final 35–27

LVLVLas Vegas Raiders35NONONew Orleans Saints27

Pregame first read

NO run defense has the stronger league profile.

LV run game #32/32 · NO run defense #10/32 · 139 offense / 126 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread: NO -5.5
Model total: 41.5
80% range (NO margin): -9.3 to +25.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

PassingTyler ShoughNO255 pass yds
RushingTravis EtienneNO57 rush yds
ReceivingBrock BowersLV116 rec yds

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

NO passing attack#10/32LV pass defense#7/32
NO run game#23/32LV run defense#3/32
LV passing attack#20/32NO pass defense#6/32
LV run game#32/32NO run defense#10/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LVLas Vegas Raiders

Kirk CousinsQB · 2 games207pass yds/g
Ashton JeantyRB · 2 games75rush yds/g
Tre TuckerWR · 2 games73rec yds/g
Michael MayerTE · 2 games27.5rec yds/g

NONew Orleans Saints

Tyler ShoughQB · 2 games331pass yds/g
Travis EtienneRB · 2 games35.5rush yds/g
Chris OlaveWR · 2 games134rec yds/g
Devaughn VeleWR · 2 games66.5rec yds/g