AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 3 · Final

New York Jets at Detroit Lions, final 24–31

NYJNYJNew York Jets24DETDETDetroit Lions31

Pregame first read

DET passing attack has the stronger league profile.

DET passing attack #7/32 · NYJ pass defense #29/32 · 218 offense / 176 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -6
Model total
51.5
80% range (DET margin)
-8.9 to +25.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DET passing attack#7/32NYJ pass defense#29/32
  • DET run game#31/32NYJ run defense#11/32
  • NYJ passing attack#24/32DET pass defense#17/32
  • NYJ run game#26/32DET run defense#32/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYJNew York Jets

DETDetroit Lions