AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 3 · Final

Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears, final 7–27

PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles7CHICHIChicago Bears27

Pregame first read

CHI run game has the stronger league profile.

CHI run game #9/32 · PHI run defense #20/32 · 156 offense / 155 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CHI -0.5
Model total
44
80% range (CHI margin)
-14.3 to +19.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CHI passing attack#10/32PHI pass defense#19/32
  • CHI run game#9/32PHI run defense#20/32
  • PHI passing attack#18/32CHI pass defense#27/32
  • PHI run game#16/32CHI run defense#17/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

CHIChicago Bears