AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 3 · Final

Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders, final 31–33

SEASEASeattle Seahawks31WASWASWashington Commanders33

Pregame first read

SEA passing attack has the stronger league profile.

SEA passing attack #2/32 · WAS pass defense #25/32 · 150 offense / 179 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SEA -10.5
Model total
44.5
80% range (WAS margin)
-25.2 to +9.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#11/32SEA pass defense#4/32
  • WAS run game#6/32SEA run defense#6/32
  • SEA passing attack#2/32WAS pass defense#25/32
  • SEA run game#22/32WAS run defense#29/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SEASeattle Seahawks

WASWashington Commanders