2026 Week 3 · Final
Tennessee Titans at New York Giants, final 7–12
Pregame first read
NYG passing attack has the stronger league profile.
NYG passing attack #16/32 · TEN pass defense #27/32 · 153 offense / 155 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- NYG -4
- Model total
- 46
- 80% range (NYG margin)
- -10.8 to +23.5
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingCam WardTEN181 pass yds
- RushingTony PollardTEN74 rush yds
- ReceivingCarnell TateTEN58 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYG passing attack#16/32TEN pass defense#27/32
- NYG run game#5/32TEN run defense#14/32
- TEN passing attack#26/32NYG pass defense#20/32
- TEN run game#12/32NYG run defense#23/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
TENTennessee Titans
- Cam WardQB · 2 games162pass yds/g
- Tony PollardRB · 2 games49.5rush yds/g
- Elic AyomanorWR · 2 games40rec yds/g
- Carnell TateWR · 2 games32.5rec yds/g
NYGNew York Giants
- Jaxson DartQB · 2 games125pass yds/g
- Cam SkatteboRB · 2 games58.5rush yds/g
- Isaiah LikelyTE · 2 games55.5rec yds/g
- Darnell MooneyWR · 2 games37.5rec yds/g