AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 4 · Final

Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers, final 26–32

DETDETDetroit Lions26CARCARCarolina Panthers32

Pregame first read

CAR run game has the stronger league profile.

CAR run game #24/32 · DET run defense #31/32 · 101 offense / 124 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -0.5
Model total
52.5
80% range (CAR margin)
-15.3 to +19.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CAR passing attack#12/32DET pass defense#16/32
  • CAR run game#24/32DET run defense#31/32
  • DET passing attack#7/32CAR pass defense#14/32
  • DET run game#30/32CAR run defense#24/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DETDetroit Lions

CARCarolina Panthers