AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 4 · Final

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals, final 22–17

JAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars22CINCINCincinnati Bengals17

Pregame first read

CIN run game has the stronger league profile.

CIN run game #3/32 · JAX run defense #27/32 · 122 offense / 116 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
JAX -6
Model total
48.5
80% range (CIN margin)
-20.6 to +13.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CIN passing attack#11/32JAX pass defense#4/32
  • CIN run game#3/32JAX run defense#27/32
  • JAX passing attack#4/32CIN pass defense#7/32
  • JAX run game#5/32CIN run defense#11/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

JAXJacksonville Jaguars

CINCincinnati Bengals