AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 4 · Final

Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks, final 23–30

LACLACLos Angeles Chargers23SEASEASeattle Seahawks30

Pregame first read

SEA pass defense has the stronger league profile.

LAC passing attack #31/32 · SEA pass defense #8/32 · 178 offense / 184 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SEA -9.5
Model total
37.5
80% range (SEA margin)
-5.4 to +28.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • SEA passing attack#3/32LAC pass defense#13/32
  • SEA run game#29/32LAC run defense#12/32
  • LAC passing attack#31/32SEA pass defense#8/32
  • LAC run game#26/32SEA run defense#4/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LACLos Angeles Chargers

SEASeattle Seahawks