AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 4 · Final

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns, final 24–27

PITPITPittsburgh Steelers24CLECLECleveland Browns27

Pregame first read

CLE pass defense has the stronger league profile.

PIT passing attack #28/32 · CLE pass defense #7/32 · 209 offense / 192 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PIT -1.5
Model total
39.5
80% range (CLE margin)
-16.3 to +18.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CLE passing attack#20/32PIT pass defense#15/32
  • CLE run game#25/32PIT run defense#26/32
  • PIT passing attack#28/32CLE pass defense#7/32
  • PIT run game#24/32CLE run defense#27/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

CLECleveland Browns