2026 Week 4 · Final
Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens, final 18–24
Pregame first read
BAL passing attack has the stronger league profile.
BAL passing attack #1/32 · TEN pass defense #28/32 · 121 offense / 152 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- BAL -6.5
- Model total
- 48
- 80% range (BAL margin)
- -8.5 to +25.8
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingLamar JacksonBAL222 pass yds
- RushingDerrick HenryBAL73 rush yds
- ReceivingCarnell TateTEN145 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- BAL passing attack#1/32TEN pass defense#28/32
- BAL run game#1/32TEN run defense#16/32
- TEN passing attack#30/32BAL pass defense#24/32
- TEN run game#12/32BAL run defense#9/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
TENTennessee Titans
- Cam WardQB · 3 games168pass yds/g
- Tony PollardRB · 3 games57.7rush yds/g
- Carnell TateWR · 3 games41rec yds/g
- Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · 3 games34.7rec yds/g
BALBaltimore Ravens
- Lamar JacksonQB · 3 games248pass yds/g
- Derrick HenryRB · 3 games100rush yds/g
- Zay FlowersWR · 2 games117rec yds/g
- Rashod BatemanWR · 3 games41.7rec yds/g