2026 Week 5 · Final
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers, final 7–31
Pregame first read
CHI passing attack has the stronger league profile.
CHI passing attack #7/32 · GB pass defense #25/32 · 180 offense / 178 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- CHI -7
- Model total
- 46.5
- 80% range (GB margin)
- -22.0 to +12.2
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJordan LoveGB367 pass yds
- RushingD'Andre SwiftCHI43 rush yds
- ReceivingChristian WatsonGB143 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- GB passing attack#11/32CHI pass defense#5/32
- GB run game#32/32CHI run defense#27/32
- CHI passing attack#7/32GB pass defense#25/32
- CHI run game#10/32GB run defense#15/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
CHIChicago Bears
- Caleb WilliamsQB · 2 games204pass yds/g
- Kyle MonangaiRB · 4 games81rush yds/g
- Rome OdunzeWR · 4 games58.3rec yds/g
- Kalif RaymondWR · 4 games55rec yds/g
GBGreen Bay Packers
- Jordan LoveQB · 4 games260pass yds/g
- Kaleb JohnsonRB · 3 games26.7rush yds/g
- Christian WatsonWR · 4 games82.8rec yds/g
- Matthew GoldenWR · 4 games68.5rec yds/g