AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 5 · Final

Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins, final 31–24

CINCINCincinnati Bengals31MIAMIAMiami Dolphins24

Pregame first read

CIN pass defense has the stronger league profile.

MIA passing attack #30/32 · CIN pass defense #8/32 · 143 offense / 181 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CIN -9.5
Model total
44
80% range (MIA margin)
-24.3 to +9.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIA passing attack#30/32CIN pass defense#8/32
  • MIA run game#26/32CIN run defense#13/32
  • CIN passing attack#15/32MIA pass defense#30/32
  • CIN run game#11/32MIA run defense#16/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CINCincinnati Bengals

MIAMiami Dolphins