AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 5 · Final

Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals, final 45–21

DETDETDetroit Lions45ARIARIArizona Cardinals21

Pregame first read

DET passing attack has the stronger league profile.

DET passing attack #3/32 · ARI pass defense #31/32 · 214 offense / 158 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -4
Model total
53.5
80% range (ARI margin)
-19.1 to +15.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ARI passing attack#20/32DET pass defense#28/32
  • ARI run game#13/32DET run defense#31/32
  • DET passing attack#3/32ARI pass defense#31/32
  • DET run game#18/32ARI run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DETDetroit Lions

ARIArizona Cardinals