AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 5 · Final

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans, final 26–3

HOUHOUHouston Texans26TENTENTennessee Titans3

Pregame first read

TEN run defense has the stronger league profile.

HOU run game #29/32 · TEN run defense #10/32 · 112 offense / 149 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
HOU -4
Model total
45
80% range (TEN margin)
-19.0 to +15.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • TEN passing attack#31/32HOU pass defense#20/32
  • TEN run game#12/32HOU run defense#5/32
  • HOU passing attack#22/32TEN pass defense#29/32
  • HOU run game#29/32TEN run defense#10/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

HOUHouston Texans

TENTennessee Titans