AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 5 · Final

Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints, final 23–13

MINMINMinnesota Vikings23NONONew Orleans Saints13

Pregame first read

MIN pass defense has the stronger league profile.

NO passing attack #19/32 · MIN pass defense #1/32 · 231 offense / 161 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
MIN -4
Model total
42.5
80% range (NO margin)
-18.9 to +15.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NO passing attack#19/32MIN pass defense#1/32
  • NO run game#20/32MIN run defense#6/32
  • MIN passing attack#21/32NO pass defense#23/32
  • MIN run game#25/32NO run defense#25/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

MINMinnesota Vikings

NONew Orleans Saints