AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 5 · Final

New York Giants at Washington Commanders, final 27–27

NYGNYGNew York Giants27WASWASWashington Commanders27

Pregame first read

NYG run defense has the stronger league profile.

WAS run game #24/32 · NYG run defense #18/32 · 156 offense / 119 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NYG -4.5
Model total
46
80% range (WAS margin)
-19.3 to +14.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#16/32NYG pass defense#12/32
  • WAS run game#24/32NYG run defense#18/32
  • NYG passing attack#13/32WAS pass defense#14/32
  • NYG run game#22/32WAS run defense#19/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYGNew York Giants

WASWashington Commanders