AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 5 · Final

Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars, final 17–19

PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles17JAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars19

Pregame first read

JAX run game has the stronger league profile.

JAX run game #4/32 · PHI run defense #26/32 · 131 offense / 140 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
JAX -7.5
Model total
42
80% range (JAX margin)
-7.5 to +26.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • JAX passing attack#4/32PHI pass defense#24/32
  • JAX run game#4/32PHI run defense#26/32
  • PHI passing attack#24/32JAX pass defense#15/32
  • PHI run game#19/32JAX run defense#17/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

JAXJacksonville Jaguars