AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 5 · Final

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks, final 32–29

SFSFSan Francisco 49ers32SEASEASeattle Seahawks29

Pregame first read

SEA passing attack has the stronger league profile.

SEA passing attack #9/32 · SF pass defense #22/32 · 163 offense / 169 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SEA -5
Model total
44.5
80% range (SEA margin)
-10.2 to +24.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • SEA passing attack#9/32SF pass defense#22/32
  • SEA run game#27/32SF run defense#20/32
  • SF passing attack#2/32SEA pass defense#3/32
  • SF run game#16/32SEA run defense#8/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SFSan Francisco 49ers

SEASeattle Seahawks