AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 5 · Final

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys, final 24–16

TBTBTampa Bay Buccaneers24DALDALDallas Cowboys16

Pregame first read

DAL passing attack has the stronger league profile.

DAL passing attack #5/32 · TB pass defense #21/32 · 181 offense / 164 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PK
Model total
49.5
80% range (DAL margin)
-14.9 to +19.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DAL passing attack#5/32TB pass defense#21/32
  • DAL run game#15/32TB run defense#1/32
  • TB passing attack#26/32DAL pass defense#32/32
  • TB run game#18/32DAL run defense#20/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers

DALDallas Cowboys