AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 6 · Final

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns, final 10–13

BALBALBaltimore Ravens10CLECLECleveland Browns13

Pregame first read

BAL run game has the stronger league profile.

BAL run game #3/32 · CLE run defense #28/32 · 157 offense / 128 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -3
Model total
46
80% range (CLE margin)
-18.1 to +16.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CLE passing attack#20/32BAL pass defense#20/32
  • CLE run game#29/32BAL run defense#11/32
  • BAL passing attack#5/32CLE pass defense#7/32
  • BAL run game#3/32CLE run defense#28/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BALBaltimore Ravens

CLECleveland Browns