AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 6 · Final

Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders, final 33–30

BUFBUFBuffalo Bills33LVLVLas Vegas Raiders30

Pregame first read

LV passing attack has the stronger league profile.

LV passing attack #7/32 · BUF pass defense #27/32 · 188 offense / 214 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BUF -4.5
Model total
52.5
80% range (LV margin)
-19.4 to +14.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • LV passing attack#7/32BUF pass defense#27/32
  • LV run game#31/32BUF run defense#27/32
  • BUF passing attack#4/32LV pass defense#22/32
  • BUF run game#1/32LV run defense#12/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BUFBuffalo Bills

LVLas Vegas Raiders