AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 6 · Final

Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs, final 6–22

Pregame first read

KC pass defense has the stronger league profile.

LAC passing attack #32/32 · KC pass defense #3/32 · 160 offense / 178 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
KC -5.5
Model total
38
80% range (KC margin)
-9.3 to +24.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • KC passing attack#16/32LAC pass defense#13/32
  • KC run game#4/32LAC run defense#10/32
  • LAC passing attack#32/32KC pass defense#3/32
  • LAC run game#28/32KC run defense#1/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LACLos Angeles Chargers

KCKansas City Chiefs