2026 Week 6 · Final
New Orleans Saints at New York Giants, final 34–27
Pregame first read
NYG passing attack has the stronger league profile.
NYG passing attack #14/32 · NO pass defense #26/32 · 180 offense / 163 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- NYG -3
- Model total
- 46
- 80% range (NYG margin)
- -12.1 to +22.1
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJ.J. McCarthyNYG243 pass yds
- RushingKendre MillerNO70 rush yds
- ReceivingMalik NabersNYG165 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYG passing attack#14/32NO pass defense#26/32
- NYG run game#26/32NO run defense#29/32
- NO passing attack#23/32NYG pass defense#17/32
- NO run game#21/32NYG run defense#31/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
NONew Orleans Saints
- Tyler ShoughQB · 5 games260pass yds/g
- Travis EtienneRB · 3 games42.7rush yds/g
- Chris OlaveWR · 5 games107rec yds/g
- Devaughn VeleWR · 5 games50.4rec yds/g
NYGNew York Giants
- Jameis WinstonQB · 4 games201pass yds/g
- Cam SkatteboRB · 5 games58.8rush yds/g
- Malik NabersWR · 5 games65.8rec yds/g
- Isaiah LikelyTE · 5 games56.8rec yds/g